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28th Meeting of the Parties to the Montreal Protocol, Kigali (Rwanda), October 12, 2016

New Delhi-based Centre for Science and Environment (CSE) released this analysis at Montreal Protocol meet in Kigali to support India’s proposal as general consensus seems to be emerging within the A5 parties (developing nations) to have a dual baseline for climate damaging gas Hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs).

Is quibbling over the 2020-22/ 2024-26 baseline for A5 parties worthwhile to achieve an ambitious HFC amendment? An analysis and appeal by Centre for Science and Environment, New Delhi. As we enter the last three days of negotiations in Kigali, we see a sense of accommodation and flexibility within parties. However, this positive environment is being sullied due to quibbling by the A2 parties about the proposed baseline years of the A5 parties. A general consensus seems to be emerging within the A5 parties to have a dual baseline. One group of countries, that includes China, seems to favor average HFC consumption during 2020-22 as the baseline (the 2020-22 baseline). Another group, that includes India, seems to opt for average HFC consumption during 2024-26 as the baseline (the 2024-26 baseline). Over the past few days, we have witnessed pressure being put by the A2 parties on the A5 parties to accept the 2020-22 baseline. Lure of early finance, HAT exemption etc are being used to isolate those countries that favor the 2024-26 baseline. This sparring threatens to unravel the progress made so far on the HFC amendment.