Atmosphere

Greenhouse Gas bulletin: the state of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere based on global observations through 2022

Greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere hit new record highs in 2022, with no end in sight to the rising trend, according to this new report by the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO). This Bulletin represents the latest analysis of observations from the WMO GAW Programme. It shows globally averaged surface …

El Nino tracks path of most intense event as bureau expects further strengthening

The El Nino climate pattern building in the Pacific is on track to be one of the strongest on record, with recent cyclones likely to intensify the event, the Bureau of Meteorology said. Sea-surface temperatures in the central equatorial Pacific in June recorded the second largest anomalies on record for …

A model-tested North Atlantic Oscillation reconstruction for the past millennium

The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is the major source of variability in winter atmospheric circulation in the Northern Hemisphere, with large impacts on temperature, precipitation and storm tracks, and therefore also on strategic sectors such as insurance, renewable energy production, crop yields and water management. Recent developments in dynamical methods …

El Niño: implications and scenarios for 2015

An El Nino event active since March 2015 will almost certainly last through 2015 and is likely to extend into early 2016. The intensity of this event is increasing with a peak expected in the last quarter of 2015 and there is a significant chance that it may become one …

Top-down constraints on atmospheric mercury emissions and implications for global biogeochemical cycling

We perform global-scale inverse modeling to constrain present-day atmospheric mercury emissions and relevant physiochemical parameters in the GEOS-Chem chemical transport model. We use Bayesian inversion methods combining simulations with GEOS-Chem and groundbased Hg0 observations from regional monitoring networks and individual sites in recent years. Original Source

Seamless prediction of the earth system: from minutes to months

This new WMO publication provides a consolidated road map for future weather research to foster the science needed to make society less vulnerable to high-impact weather. The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has released a publication that provides a consolidated roadmap for future weather research in order to foster the science …

Contribution of changes in atmospheric circulation patterns to extreme temperature trends

Surface weather conditions are closely governed by the large-scale circulation of the Earth’s atmosphere. Recent increases in the occurrence of some extreme weather phenomena have led to multiple mechanistic hypotheses linking changes in atmospheric circulation to increasing probability of extreme events. However, observed evidence of long-term change in atmospheric circulation …

Quantifying methane and nitrous oxide emissions from the UK and Ireland using a national-scale monitoring network

The UK is one of several countries around the world that has enacted legislation to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions. In this study, we present top-down emissions of methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O) for the UK and Ireland over the period August 2012 to August 2014. These emissions were …

Ozone and aerosol tropospheric concentrations variability analyzed using the ADRIMED measurements and the WRF and CHIMERE models

During the months of June and July 2013, over the Euro–Mediterranean area, the ADRIMED (Aerosol Direct Radiative Impact on the regional climate in the Mediterranean region) project was dedicated to characterize the ozone and aerosol concentrations in the troposphere. It is first shown that this period was not highly polluted …

Regional-scale simulations of fungal spore aerosols using an emission parameterization adapted to local measurements of fluorescent biological aerosol particles

Fungal spores as a prominent type of primary biological aerosol particles (PBAP) have been incorporated into the COSMO-ART (Consortium for Small-scale Modelling Aerosols and Reactive Trace gases) regional atmospheric model. Two literature-based emission rates for fungal spores derived from fungal spore colony counts and chemical tracer measurements were used as …

Seasonal variation of saccharides and furfural in atmospheric aerosols at a semi-urban site

Seasonal variability of daily particle mass and saccharides and furfural concentrations in atmospheric particulate matter in both coarse aerosols (diameter > 2.4 µm) and fine aerosols (diameter < 2.4 µm) was determined for a semi-urban area in the United Kingdom. Saccharides, which include levoglucosan, and furfural are derived from biomass …

Permafrost and global climate change

Permafrost contains almost twice as much carbon as the atmosphere. As the Earth warms, permafrost thaws, releasing carbon dioxide and methane to the atmosphere. The amount and rate of this carbon release will greatly impact Earth’s climate trajectory. Carbon emissions from thawing arctic permafrost will become substantial within decades, likely …

Vertical structure and physical processes of the Madden-Julian oscillation: Exploring key model physics in climate simulations

Aimed at reducing deficiencies in representing the Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) in general circulation models (GCMs), a global model evaluation project on vertical structure and physical processes of the MJO was coordinated. In this paper, results from the climate simulation component of this project are reported. It is shown that the …

Global carbon export from the terrestrial biosphere controlled by erosion

Riverine export of particulate organic carbon (POC) to the ocean affects the atmospheric carbon inventory over a broad range of timescales. On geological timescales, the balance between sequestration of POC from the terrestrial biosphere and oxidation of rock-derived (petrogenic) organic carbon sets the magnitude of the atmospheric carbon and oxygen …

Oceanic and atmospheric forcing of Larsen C Ice-Shelf thinning

The catastrophic collapses of Larsen A and B ice shelves on the eastern Antarctic Peninsula have caused their tributary glaciers to accelerate, contributing to sea-level rise and freshening the Antarctic Bottom Water formed nearby. The surface of Larsen C Ice Shelf (LCIS), the largest ice shelf on the peninsula, is …

Effects of declining aerosols on projections of zonally averaged tropical precipitation

All of the representative concentration pathways (RCPs) assume that future emissions of aerosols and aerosol precursors will decline sharply. There is considerable evidence that historically increasing aerosols have substantially affected tropical precipitation, but the effects of projected aerosol declines have received little attention. We compare projections forced by the medium-low …

Changes in water vapor and clouds are amplifying global warming

A very new paper currently in press shines light on climate feedbacks and the balance of energy flows to and from the Earth. The paper was published by Kevin Trenberth, Yongxin Zhang, John Fasullo, and Shoichi Taguchi. In this study, the authors ask and answer a number of challenging questions. …

Unprecedented hailstorms over north peninsular India during February–March 2014

Unprecedented, widespread, and devastating hailstorms occurred during February and March 2014 over north peninsular India (study area). A diagnostic study has been carried out to understand the causes for the same. Over the study area the atmosphere was convectively unstable due to the incursion of warm and moist air from …

Emissions from biomass burning cross the Himalayas

The organic acids present in the aerosols serve as a unique fingerprint in identifying the source of pollution. Contrary to the general assumption that the southern slopes of the Himalayas act as a barrier and effectively block the transportation of pollutants from India and other parts of South Asia, a …

Anaesthetic gases raising Earth's temperature too

Anaesthetic gases may help doctors to cause temporary loss of sensation in patients and carry out surgery smoothly, but by accumulating in the Earth's atmosphere, they also contribute to climate change, says a new study. Over the past decade, concentrations of the anaesthetics desflurane, isoflurane and sevoflurane have been rising …

Significant influence of fungi on coarse carbonaceous and potassium aerosols in a tropical rainforest

Fungal spores are ubiquitous in the Earth's atmosphere, especially in the environment of tropical rainforests with intense biological activities. To assess the impact of fungi on chemical components of atmospheric aerosols at a Chinese tropical rainforest site, size-segregated fungal spore tracers (i.e. arabitol and mannitol) were measured along with major …

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