El Niño and the summer monsoon of 2014

The monsoon rainfall in 2014 is likely to be less than the long term average, with a chance of almost one in four of it being a drought, according to the forecast of the India Meteorological Department. The expected occurrence of an undesirable phenomenon – the El Niño over the Pacific Ocean, is considered to be a major factor in determining the fate of the monsoon this year. (Editorial)

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